According to the latest official pool, the two political groups that will split the majority of seats will still be the European Popular Party (EPP) and the Socialists and Democrats (S&D). Even if, compared to the ongoing legislature, both are losing seats.
The pools place EPP at the first place with 180 seats, 37 less than last election. S&D would lose the same amount of seat, scoring a total of 149. ALDE liberal party gained 10 seats thanks to the official entrance in the group of French President Macron’s En Marche party, getting closer and closer to 100 seats.
Eurosceptic groups are gaining some points, and they should be able to control almost 25% of the Parliament. Matteo Salvini and Marine Le Pen’s party, ENF, is getting closer to be the largest Eurosceptic group – together with ECR group, mostly controlled by the polish party Law and Justice.
If this will be the outcome of the next EU election, a coalition between EPP, S&D and ALDE would be the easiest to create, granting them a majority of 56% in the Parliament.